📦 Emergency Resale Index

Behavioural Indicator — BEAVER.WATCH

Emergency
Resale

Statistics Canada takes 6 months to compile what the Beaver sees in 24 hours. When Canadians start selling their tools, gaming consoles and jewellery — something has changed. Before the headlines. Before the official reports.

💡 Why this indicator is unique in the world

The Emergency Resale Index measures the real behaviour of Canadians — not what they say in surveys. When tool listings jump 30% in Montréal AND Toronto simultaneously, that's a national economic distress alert that no one else captures in real time. The change (not the absolute number) is the signal.

🟢

0% – +5%

Normal
The Beaver sleeps peacefully

🟠

+5% – +15%

Tension
The Beaver is stocking up

🔴

+15% and above

CRISE
The Beaver sounds the alarm

Why these 4 categories?

🔧

Tools & Equipment — When entrepreneurs close shop or scale down, they liquidate their equipment first. This is the earliest signal of a recession hitting Canadian SMEs.

🎮

Electronics & Gaming — Consoles and electronics are the first non-essential items households in distress sell for quick cash. Household liquidity signal.

🏠

Lease Transfers — The number of Canadians trying to exit their lease is the most direct signal of the housing crisis. A spike = households that can no longer afford their rent.

💍

Jewellery & Watches — Jewellery is the last asset sold — it has sentimental value. When jewellery listings spike, that's financial distress at its deepest level.

Méthodologie

Automated Python script via GitHub Actions — runs every morning at 7:00 AM. Counts active listings per category on Canadian secondary markets for Montréal, Toronto and Vancouver. Measures the change vs the launch baseline (May 11, 2026). Score = normalized variation on a 0–1 scale. A script collects the data. The public JSON is updated automatically. No personal data collected.

🦫

The Beaver Says

"Statistics Canada will publish these numbers in 6 months. The Beaver sees them this morning. On Canadian secondary markets. Because when people start selling their circular saws — that's not a good sign. 📦🦫"